Morningstar:
Mrs. Jankowska, what is the philosophy of the fund you manage – Allianz RCM
Global EcoTrends? What differentiates you from your competitors?
Jankowska: The
objective of the Fund is to invest in global, environmental technology
solutions, which are being driven by global trends such as demographics and
urbanisation, emerging market growth, climate change, efficient use of
resources, energy independence and tightening government policy and
legislation. This presents a myriad of investment opportunities ranging from
low carbon energy, water and pollution control technologies to energy
efficiency and green chemistry. The fund itself is structured along three key
clean technology themes: eco-energy, pollution control and clean water –
creating a broad and diversified universe of stocks from which I can pick. It
is this level of diversification that in my view sets the Fund apart from the
competition. Because it is able to invest in so many different and emerging
themes, it can take advantage of the entire spectrum of clean technology
investment opportunities rather than just being restricted to a single theme
such as climate change or water for instance. Another point of differentiation
lies with the research inputs into the Fund. Having an established and
dedicated team of clean technology analysts supported by the global RCM
research platform and our proprietary Grassroots Research network, we are able
to spot emerging trends ahead of the market and have an information advantage.
Morningstar: Clean technology
investments comprise a wide field of investments. What are the most important
trends within clean technology?
Jankowska:
Currently, the most prominent trends exist in alternative energy and low carbon
technologies, with the most exciting area being energy efficient LED’s :Light
Emitting Diodes. Part of that is being driven by the growing awareness from
businesses and consumers of environmental issues such as climate change. For
businesses this can be especially powerful when making long-term investment
plans, anticipating consumer purchasing trends or anticipating what
environmental regulatory requirements may be placed on the business over the
coming years. However, the most important trend at present within the clean
technology sector is the evolution of environmental policy and regulations,
which are currently a key driver for the adoption of clean technologies.
Morningstar: Where do
you see the biggest demand for clean technology from a regional point of view,
where is the biggest growth?
Jankowska: Since
we launched the Fund in 2006 demand for clean technologies has shifted among
regions. In 2006 and 2007, greatest demand was arising from Europe as
governments introduced attractive feed-in tariffs for alternative energies such
as wind and solar. This led to significant growth in countries such as Germany
and Spain. The US also saw growth in wind and biofuels and to a lesser extent
solar installations. As the global financial crisis hit in 2008 and we entered
a global recession the clean technology sector suffered along with many others
due to a lack in the availability of financing. Looking ahead now we expect
demand for low carbon technologies to return in the US and in part in Europe as
financing and the economic environment improves, whilst growth will continue to
remain robust in China. Most importantly, over the coming years demand for
clean technologies is going to be global as governments adopt different
timeframes and targets to meet their national environmental agendas.
Morningstar: What are the biggest challenges? Aren't the investments to
some extent relying on Government subsidies? Do you see rising risks here given
the high borrowing level of Governments and the pressure on Governments to
tighten their belts?
Jankowska: The
removal or cutting back of subsidies is the biggest risk to the clean
technology sector particularly alternative energy. However, there is a degree
of visibility in the Government subsidies and these being backed by the
Government, create some certainty. The high level of Government borrowing is an
obstacle however so is the challenge of energy security and independence, as
well as climate change. The aggressive price drops we saw in alternative energy
in 2008/2009 has led us closer to these technologies being able to stand on
their own without the need for subsidies. The added challenge in investing in
the clean technology sector is getting a handle on the potential for growth, as
many technologies are still new and innovative.
Morningstar:
How do clean technology stocks perform versus wider global equities, over the
cycle?
Jankowska: The
clean technology sector does not have a long history to compare over cycles and
it is still evolving. We expect to outperform the wider market as many of the
themes we are investing in will span many years and will continue to become
more important and grow faster than the market. The LED sector is a good
example. We are excited about LED’s where
over the shorter term we are seeing high adoption rates in TV backlighting. Over the last
year LED stocks have returned 300% over the last year in comparison to the MSCI
World which returned an average of 46%. What is crucial to note, is that the
LED sector is still at the very early stages of growth with full market
adoption yet to fully come through.
Morningstar: Where are the clean technology companies located? Does the
clean tech investor get a global product?
Jankowska: The
Global EcoTrends fund has a global remit and we
believe is therefore extremely well positioned to capture opportunities
worldwide. Although it is equally important to understand the peculiarities of
each region, which we believe we are well equipped to do given RCM’s global
research platform. The nature of our universe is mainly defined by mid-cap
companies which creates an advantage as they also have the greatest potential
to be mispriced. We also have some mega cap exposure.
Morningstar: What are the biggest share price drivers of the most
important segments within clean technology? Is it the energy price, the economic
cycle, interest rates?
Jankowska: All
of these factors are important. The energy price (oil and gas) has a bearing on
alternative energy stocks as it is correlated to electricity prices. However
investors in alternative energy projects do not look to energy spot prices when
assessing the viability of projects. They instead would assess the energy
outlook for say 20 years with a view to providing an alternative energy project
that is government guaranteed via feed-in tariffs, is not exposed to the volatility
of energy costs and as a result, provides stable cash flows for the life of the
project. What drives clean technology stocks is the same as the drivers for any
equity investment: cash flows and the return on investment the company
generates in the long term. This then relates to the company’s competitive
positioning, the economic cycle, the quality of management and the
defensiveness of the company’s position i.e. does it have proprietary and
differentiated technology.
Morningstar: Mrs. Jankowska, thank you very much!
The interview was conducted by Morningstar analyst Marzena Lange.
Ursprünglich erschienen in der GoingPublic Ausgabe 6/2010.